Is a Heat Pump Worth It in New Jersey?
Last updated June 27, 2026 · based on New Jersey energy prices
In New Jersey, where residential electricity averages about 18¢/kWh and natural gas about $1.35/therm, a heat pump may actually cost a bit more to run than cheap natural gas here — the case is strongest if you're also replacing an aging AC. New Jersey has a moderate heating climate, which means a heat pump runs at a seasonal efficiency (COP) near 3 here.
New Jersey heating cost comparison (average 2,000 sq ft home)
| System | Estimated annual heating cost |
|---|---|
| Gas furnace (95% AFUE) | $782 |
| Heating oil | $2,095 |
| Heat pump | $967 |
If you currently heat with oil, the picture is much stronger: a heat pump could save around $1,128/year versus heating oil at New Jersey prices. Against electric baseboard heat, a heat pump cuts heating energy use by about two-thirds, so the savings are even larger.
What this means for New Jersey homeowners in 2026
The federal heat pump tax credit expired December 31, 2025, so a 2026 install in New Jersey carries the full upfront cost unless you qualify for a state or utility rebate. Because New Jersey's climate is moderate, the strongest financial case is when you're replacing both an old furnace and an aging air conditioner at once — the heat pump does both jobs with one system. Since cheap gas keeps running-cost savings modest here, lean on the combined heating-plus-cooling replacement and any available rebates to justify the switch.
New Jersey rebates
Check whether New Jersey has launched its HEEHRA home-electrification rebate program (worth up to $8,000 for income-qualified households) and confirm it still has funding before counting on it — availability changes month to month. Also check your local electric utility, which may offer its own heat pump rebate of a few hundred to a couple thousand dollars. See our 2026 rebate guide for details.
Estimates based on New Jersey average energy prices and a simplified model; your results will vary. Energy prices and incentives change frequently. Not financial advice.